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#outermanchuria

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Ben Royce 🇺🇦<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.green/@X31Andy" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>X31Andy</span></a></span> </p><p>part of me thinks <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/china" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>china</span></a> is getting <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/outerManchuria" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>outerManchuria</span></a> and not <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/taiwan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>taiwan</span></a></p><p>and part of me thinks some in china know that</p><p>but it would be a quiet game. and maybe that quiet game is happening</p><p>fuck <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/imperialism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>imperialism</span></a> in general</p><p>but i'm going to play the world's tiniest violin if rabidly <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ethnofascist" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ethnofascist</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/imperialist" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>imperialist</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/russia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>russia</span></a> loses on the terms it started</p>
The Animal and the Machine<p>A good update on the <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/OuterManchuria" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>OuterManchuria</span></a> scenario from the Icarus Project. Well worth a watch if you don’t want to get surprised by stuff in 2026.</p><p>Given that the Chinese army is at rest, the optimum time for them to take ‘ancestral land’ from the Russian empire is when Russia is at its weakest, which will be just before they beg for peace from <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/Ukraine" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Ukraine</span></a>.</p><p>It’s not impossible Russia sells the land and Putin blames the people for it.</p><p><a href="https://youtu.be/65ZTfZl2iu0" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">youtu.be/65ZTfZl2iu0</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p>
Ben Royce 🇺🇦<p>"If <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/China" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>China</span></a> wants <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Taiwan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Taiwan</span></a> it should also take back land from <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Russia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Russia</span></a>, [Taiwan's] president says"</p><p><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/if-china-wants-taiwan-it-should-also-take-back-land-russia-president-says-2024-09-02/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">reuters.com/world/asia-pacific</span><span class="invisible">/if-china-wants-taiwan-it-should-also-take-back-land-russia-president-says-2024-09-02/</span></a></p><p>🤭 </p><p>This is the kind of international trolling I am here for</p><p>For those who don't know China is keen on redeeming its "Century of Humiliation" at the hands of <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/imperialism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>imperialism</span></a></p><p>But it steals atolls from the <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Philippines" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Philippines</span></a> and glaciers from <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/India" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>India</span></a></p><p>It remains that China's greatest loss of land was to Russia: <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/OuterManchuria" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>OuterManchuria</span></a></p><p>China is very quiet about it, but we shouldn't be</p>
Ben Royce 🇺🇦<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://beige.party/@pattykimura" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>pattykimura</span></a></span> </p><p><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/China" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>China</span></a> is in it for China</p><p>It will transact with <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Russia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Russia</span></a> as long as China benefits</p><p>There is no allegiance. The "friendship" is lip service</p><p>And we can't forget China is growing in power and resents their century of humiliation. Russia was the biggest land grabber, they took <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/OuterManchuria" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>OuterManchuria</span></a>, and no <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nationalist" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>nationalist</span></a> in China forgets. When the time is right, when Russia is decrepit enough, China will extend <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/economic" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>economic</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/imperialism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>imperialism</span></a> into <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Siberia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Siberia</span></a> and virtually, not explicitly, take control</p>